Europa Conference League · resolved market
NSÍ Runavík vs. FC Lugano: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf003d25f91f778f7bcf7472a75844ededc8f06563e752a8b60a46333804fd36f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Over | 25c | 515.04$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.26 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 75c | 284$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 10c | 207$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 76c | 168.32$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 73c | 127.23$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 35c | 84.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…7762backed Over | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 75c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 75c | 23.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NSÍ Runavík vs. FC Lugano: O/U 4.5this page
- NSÍ Runavík vs. FC Lugano: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- NSÍ Runavík vs. FC Lugano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NSÍ Runavík vs. FC Lugano: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- NSÍ Runavík vs. FC Lugano: O/U 1.5Over won
- NSÍ Runavík vs. FC Lugano: O/U 2.5Over won
- NSÍ Runavík vs. FC Lugano: O/U 3.5Over won
- NSÍ Runavík vs. FC Lugano: O/U 5.5Under won
- NSÍ Runavík vs. FC Lugano: Team to AdvanceFC Lugano won
- Spread: FC Lugano (-1.5)NSÍ Runavík won
- Spread: NSÍ Runavík (-1.5)FC Lugano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.