Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf033393107fb6b4e69ed1320200b6c7f19ca49f3f60d1a1ec0c9afd3038993e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 51c | 1,503$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.08 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 1,493$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.44 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 49c | 1,072$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.89 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 406.69$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.33 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 51c | 296.47$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.27 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 236.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 50c | 236.96$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.68 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 49c | 187.14$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.44 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Under | 50c | 174.64$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.32 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -14.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 33c | 122.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 67c | 113.56$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Under | 67c | 105.8$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb961…5554backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed Over | 52c | 103.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 103.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 501 | 55.3%277 W · 224 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 50c | 98.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Under | 53c | 86.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 37c | 75.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 51c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 67c | 60.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 49c | 55.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 52c | 47.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…4e03backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed Under | 57c | 32.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 51c | 31.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 54c | 28.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)KT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge GroupKT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.