Lol · resolved market
LoL: GOAL vs mCon esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf07f90511610a13645db1047d2190ffe3e4915bf63df14a3ad5ec6d667ba3874
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GOALof GOAL, mCon esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed mCon esports | 31c | 2,395$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed mCon esports | 35c | 1,832$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.87 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed mCon esports | 18c | 1,730$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.5 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed GOAL | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed GOAL | 68c | 987.59$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.65 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed mCon esports | 27c | 767.88$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.01 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked GOAL | 67c | 707.37$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.27 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…5bcfbacked GOAL | 71c | 534$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.77 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed GOAL | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked mCon esports | 19c | 377.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked GOAL | 63c | 334.4$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.73 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked mCon esports | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed GOAL | 67c | 271.55$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed mCon esports | 32c | 243.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked GOAL | 69c | 235.22$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed mCon esports | 8c | 228.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 173 | 25.4%44 W · 129 L | -19.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed mCon esports | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked mCon esports | 8c | 168.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked mCon esports | 26c | 164$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked GOAL | 70c | 147.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed GOAL | 67c | 143.28$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked mCon esports | 32c | 130.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…c22fbacked mCon esports | 33c | 109.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed GOAL | 63c | 101.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked GOAL | 79c | 93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…87c5backed GOAL | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed mCon esports | 26c | 78.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed mCon esports | 35c | 69.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed mCon esports | 36c | 63.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed GOAL | 65c | 61.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed GOAL | 63c | 59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked GOAL | 70c | 50.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed GOAL | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…4216backed GOAL | 67c | 49.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9843…266fbacked GOAL | 70c | 48.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed GOAL | 63c | 45.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked GOAL | 68c | 33.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked GOAL | 65c | 30.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed mCon esports | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…3053backed GOAL | 65c | 29.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed GOAL | 71c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed GOAL | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…c143backed GOAL | 65c | 15.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.