Tennis · resolved market
ITF Granby: Lizette Cabrera vs Lea Ma
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0828c33d88a9bfba9ffa8cf6aa4df15e635f83eb5e164440f4882b3ab9fffa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lea Maof Lizette Cabrera, Lea Ma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lizette Cabrera | 13c | 2,213$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.14 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Lea Ma | 39c | 1,631$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.2 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Lizette Cabrera | 53c | 1,362$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.25 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lizette Cabrera | 47c | 1,233$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.81 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Lizette Cabrera | 19c | 1,042$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.19 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Lea Ma | 45c | 724.34$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.81 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lizette Cabrera | 73c | 625.75$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.47 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Lizette Cabrera | 40c | 476.33$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.91 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Lizette Cabrera | 57c | 426.69$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.54 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Lizette Cabrera | 36c | 391.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Lizette Cabrera | 9c | 333$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Lizette Cabrera | 69c | 308.31$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.73 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lizette Cabrera | 70c | 230.47$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.43 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Lea Ma | 54c | 226.01$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.31 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lea Ma | 26c | 207.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.85 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Lizette Cabrera | 45c | 178$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…6b36backed Lizette Cabrera | 33c | 106$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lea Ma | 47c | 100.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Lea Ma | 21c | 95.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.41 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Lea Ma | 38c | 81.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…b22cbacked Lizette Cabrera | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Lizette Cabrera | 14c | 72.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Lizette Cabrera | 44c | 67.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Lea Ma | 51c | 61.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Lea Ma | 46c | 59.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Lizette Cabrera | 49c | 55.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Lea Ma | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Lea Ma | 79c | 41.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lizette Cabrera | 67c | 39.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lea Ma | 66c | 39.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lea Ma | 55c | 33.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Lea Ma | 44c | 29.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Lizette Cabrera | 52c | 26.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.