Tennis · resolved market
ITF Eupen: Noah Schlagenhauf vs Abel Forger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0ae30ca05cefbb1bbcf817976ec43f01830d499158cf1670ca3ebe6295fe29d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abel Forgerof Noah Schlagenhauf, Abel Forger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf068…849cbacked Noah Schlagenhauf | 30c | 1,912$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.34 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Abel Forger | 76c | 734.03$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.97 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e8…ebb7backed Abel Forger | 66c | 457.58$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Abel Forger | 63c | 329.44$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Noah Schlagenhauf | 24c | 305.23$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Abel Forger | 69c | 157.14$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Abel Forger | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…3b06backed Noah Schlagenhauf | 31c | 145.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +139%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Abel Forger | 69c | 142$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Abel Forger | 73c | 139.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Abel Forger | 67c | 103$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Abel Forger | 77c | 99.65$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Noah Schlagenhauf | 28c | 97.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Abel Forger | 73c | 94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…873bbacked Abel Forger | 69c | 87.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Noah Schlagenhauf | 36c | 81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Noah Schlagenhauf | 26c | 77.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Abel Forger | 68c | 71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Noah Schlagenhauf | 18c | 57.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Abel Forger | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Abel Forger | 78c | 48.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Abel Forger | 79c | 45.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Abel Forger | 80c | 41.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…584fbacked Abel Forger | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Abel Forger | 69c | 21.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Abel Forger | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Abel Forger | 67c | 15.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.