Lol · resolved market
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0b02681056e3233ab3710e60f62a0ec321de4d9ae331598d81e9ed4c23a8968
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOUDof LOS, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked LOS | 37c | 12,695$4,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.99 | 1,267 | 37.7%478 W · 789 L | +35.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked LOUD | 64c | 5,581$3,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.49 | 1,008 | 42.5%428 W · 580 L | -24.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed LOUD | 32c | 5,082$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430.86 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LOUD | 64c | 3,880$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.71 | 1,603 | 42.4%679 W · 924 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed LOUD | 52c | 3,431$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.44 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed LOUD | 40c | 1,763$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058 | 637 | 46.5%296 W · 341 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed LOS | 60c | 1,700$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 1,071 | 47.1%504 W · 567 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked LOS | 1c | 1,612$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LOS | 30c | 1,410$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.8 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed LOS | 60c | 1,064$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.68 | 1,596 | 53.7%857 W · 739 L | +56.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7476…d670backed LOS | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…c4d7backed LOS | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed LOUD | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked LOUD | 20c | 900$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 635 | 51.8%329 W · 306 L | +39.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LOUD | 41c | 750$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed LOS | 60c | 632.5$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.5 | 1,005 | 54%543 W · 462 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed LOUD | 40c | 499.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.21 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed LOS | 60c | 420$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed LOS | 80c | 410$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 360 | 50.6%182 W · 178 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked LOS | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked LOUD | 12c | 362$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.56 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked LOUD | 40c | 310.91$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed LOS | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked LOUD | 56c | 248$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…7203backed LOUD | 10c | 230$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.37 | 139 | 11.5%16 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed LOUD | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed LOUD | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked LOUD | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,013 | 49.1%497 W · 516 L | +29.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed LOUD | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 267 | 44.9%120 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked LOUD | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 233 | 41.2%96 W · 137 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LOUD | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.31 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…d9d0backed LOUD | 40c | 157.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LOS | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed LOUD | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 807 | 50.8%410 W · 397 L | +48.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed LOS | 59c | 121.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 824 | 52.7%434 W · 390 L | +41.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked LOUD | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 1,189 | 48.1%572 W · 617 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed LOS | 79c | 121.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 396 | 63.4%251 W · 145 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…3ae7backed LOS | 14c | 103.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed LOUD | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked LOUD | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,050 | 46.1%484 W · 566 L | -43.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked LOUD | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,453 | 43.4%630 W · 823 L | +106.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked LOUD | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 230 | 23%53 W · 177 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked LOS | 64c | 78.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed LOUD | 18c | 64.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked LOS | 75c | 59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8a…d30fbacked LOUD | 37c | 57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed LOS | 66c | 45.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed LOUD | 67c | 44.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed LOUD | 59c | 39.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc963…4137backed LOUD | 66c | 36.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…ca73backed LOUD | 68c | 29.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…fcbbbacked LOS | 59c | 23.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed LOS | 68c | 16.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 276 | 68.1%188 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Cup PlayoffsLOUD won
- LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 1 WinnerLOS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.