Lol · resolved market
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9f9f5388b051a35a50b827e3dad31d8d09ede792799efdf9b8241107805a588
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOSof LOS, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked LOUD | 18c | 12,118$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.55 | 1,267 | 37.7%478 W · 789 L | +35.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed LOS | 30c | 7,334$2,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130.98 | 1,635 | 40.2%657 W · 978 L | +48.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LOS | 42c | 4,681$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.95 | 1,603 | 42.4%679 W · 924 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed LOS | 54c | 3,937$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.02 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6532…55f3backed LOUD | 1c | 3,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LOS | 60c | 3,245$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.15 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed LOUD | 74c | 2,705$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,016 | 47%478 W · 538 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…9d0cbacked LOUD | 1c | 2,400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 2cpaid | +2,310.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked LOS | 60c | 2,060$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.92 | 1,008 | 42.5%428 W · 580 L | -24.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed LOUD | 2c | 2,039$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed LOS | 67c | 1,214$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.79 | 1,596 | 53.7%857 W · 739 L | +56.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked LOUD | 1c | 1,200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 109 | 5.5%6 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed LOS | 66c | 1,076$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.28 | 1,005 | 54%543 W · 462 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked LOS | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked LOS | 67c | 1,000$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed LOS | 67c | 878.43$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.94 | 1,310 | 55.8%731 W · 579 L | +43.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked LOS | 56c | 831.98$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.9 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…83f4backed LOUD | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked LOUD | 50c | 686.71$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.36 | 1,540 | 62.6%964 W · 576 L | +158.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed LOUD | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,060 | 28.5%302 W · 758 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed LOUD | 35c | 535.4$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked LOUD | 49c | 386.29$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.39 | 635 | 51.8%329 W · 306 L | +39.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…2ed2backed LOS | 20c | 361.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.94 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed LOUD | 49c | 343.49$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.8 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked LOS | 62c | 324.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.98 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked LOS | 46c | 313.04$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.04 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed LOS | 67c | 303.03$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,071 | 47.1%504 W · 567 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LOUD | 32c | 301.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed LOS | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked LOS | 7c | 300$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked LOUD | 34c | 300$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed LOS | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…7203backed LOS | 5c | 256$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.2 | 139 | 11.5%16 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed LOS | 76c | 196.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed LOUD | 47c | 180.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +20.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed LOUD | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed LOS | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked LOS | 79c | 156$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked LOS | 67c | 149.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed LOS | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 396 | 63.4%251 W · 145 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed LOUD | 53c | 146.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.26 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed LOUD | 51c | 143$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked LOS | 43c | 116.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 431 | 38.1%164 W · 267 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c9…d67abacked LOUD | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked LOUD | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed LOS | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked LOUD | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed LOS | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 267 | 44.9%120 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LOUD | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LOUD | 20c | 98.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked LOUD | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…740bbacked LOS | 75c | 74.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed LOS | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed LOUD | 29c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…64bcbacked LOS | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LOUD | 54c | 69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc963…4137backed LOS | 29c | 66.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked LOS | 34c | 64.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed LOS | 59c | 61.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked LOUD | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,453 | 43.4%630 W · 823 L | +106.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed LOS | 31c | 57.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…2e1abacked LOS | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666e…011abacked LOS | 56c | 41.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eda…3b84backed LOUD | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +7.9wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…91d5backed LOUD | 77c | 38.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked LOUD | 59c | 34.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1325…f2aebacked LOS | 61c | 32.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…b281backed LOUD | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6f…e57cbacked LOUD | 33c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed LOS | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…fcbbbacked LOS | 74c | 28.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked LOUD | 52c | 26.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec02…3dd1backed LOS | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -22.3wins | -0.16per pick | 65cpaid | -29%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Cup PlayoffsLOUD won
- LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 2 WinnerLOUD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.