Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Duke Blue Devils vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 136.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0d5f580a8302ccb6aa90be4e96dbbaf6a4a2cd9d0b335efdc7de1daf266716d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 50c | 15,854$7,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,927.07 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 14,202$7,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,168.87 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 50c | 3,030$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 50c | 2,350$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 49c | 2,217$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.6 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 1,790$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.37 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 51c | 771.08$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.86 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 592$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.92 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 51c | 231.82$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.59 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 52c | 220.79$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 49c | 201.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Under | 50c | 200.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.63 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 178.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.28 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 49c | 67.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 50c | 46.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Under | 50c | 42.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 52c | 28.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Duke Blue Devils vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 136.5this page
- Duke Blue Devils vs. Pittsburgh PanthersDuke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-17.5)Pittsburgh Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.