Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57184f8e685a74a131d403b2bf136deb232688666445ca2c9e815ac939f50b87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Panthersof Duke Blue Devils, Pittsburgh Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 12,047$6,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,086.04 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 4,791$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.5 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 3,990$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 1,322$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.04 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 1,207$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.57 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 792$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.08 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 51c | 731.69$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.3 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 596.16$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.79 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 54c | 509.26$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.26 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 489.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed Duke Blue Devils | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Duke Blue Devils | 53c | 94.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 47c | 94.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 64.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Duke Blue Devils | 48c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…5e07backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 47.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 38.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 36.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-17.5)this page
- Duke Blue Devils vs. Pittsburgh PanthersDuke Blue Devils won
- Duke Blue Devils vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 136.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.