Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Duke Blue Devils vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92b5db8f1947fefc9a6ed6859848615b376c8459695151362f67ea21647ad3c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duke Blue Devilsof Duke Blue Devils, Pittsburgh Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 6c | 7,360$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.38 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 6c | 6,312$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.58 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 6c | 5,134$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.71 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 4c | 4,826$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.48 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 5c | 4,341$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.49 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 5c | 3,173$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.78 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 4c | 2,956$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.78 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 4c | 1,364$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 6c | 855.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 6c | 724.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 6c | 587$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 6c | 531.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 3c | 500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 6c | 447.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 5c | 426.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27bf…fa14backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 7c | 419.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 6c | 398.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 3c | 390$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 3c | 390$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…0821backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd3…47b6backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 5c | 273.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 6c | 268.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 6c | 266.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…9bf6backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 6c | 228$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 6c | 178.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 9c | 176.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Duke Blue Devils vs. Pittsburgh Panthersthis page
- Duke Blue Devils vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 136.5Under won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-17.5)Pittsburgh Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.