Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Eala (-1.5) vs Grabher (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf11f54f3379b1c0cffc25c2b5e3a4564d091557445f6def34ccefad6dee9e85c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ealaof Eala, Grabher
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Grabher | 64c | 1,956$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.31 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Eala | 50c | 1,471$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.55 | 148 | 22.3%33 W · 115 L | -14.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Eala | 36c | 1,179$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.07 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grabher | 48c | 1,044$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Eala | 56c | 568.19$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.29 | 354 | 36.4%129 W · 225 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grabher | 52c | 335.4$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.67 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Eala | 37c | 331$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.53 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Eala | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Eala | 50c | 111.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Grabher | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Grabher | 31c | 78.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 246 | 32.9%81 W · 165 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb5…f531backed Eala | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Grabher | 59c | 48.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 337 | 47.2%159 W · 178 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Grabher | 63c | 45.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Grabher | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Grabher | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Grabher | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grabher | 59c | 29.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Eala (-1.5) vs Grabher (+1.5)this page
- Julia Grabher vs. Alexandra Eala: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Grabher vs EalaEala won
- Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Julia Grabher vs Alexandra EalaAlexandra Eala won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.