Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Arina Arifullina vs Su Jeong Jang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf148cc0e5587263a856f8fbe7c26f6e72b712f53e9cd38492bedbaddbf179a6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Su Jeong Jangof Arina Arifullina, Su Jeong Jang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa94e…41f2backed Arina Arifullina | 18c | 2,423$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arina Arifullina | 22c | 818.85$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.54 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Su Jeong Jang | 73c | 544.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.24 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Su Jeong Jang | 71c | 424.96$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.34 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arina Arifullina | 21c | 385.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Arina Arifullina | 12c | 240.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Arina Arifullina | 27c | 179.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…c784backed Arina Arifullina | 18c | 174.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Su Jeong Jang | 77c | 139$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Su Jeong Jang | 73c | 119.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Arina Arifullina | 22c | 109.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Su Jeong Jang | 77c | 108.43$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arina Arifullina | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Arina Arifullina | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb4…61bdbacked Su Jeong Jang | 73c | 99.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d42…9eadbacked Su Jeong Jang | 73c | 69.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Su Jeong Jang | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Arina Arifullina | 19c | 54.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Su Jeong Jang | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Arina Arifullina | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8b…73f9backed Su Jeong Jang | 73c | 45.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Su Jeong Jang | 72c | 40.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Su Jeong Jang | 78c | 38.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Su Jeong Jang | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Su Jeong Jang | 74c | 30.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Su Jeong Jang | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Su Jeong Jang | 74c | 20.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Su Jeong Jang | 74c | 20.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Su Jeong Jang | 80c | 17.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Su Jeong Jang | 74c | 15.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed Su Jeong Jang | 69c | 14.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Astana: Arina Arifullina vs Su Jeong Jangthis page
- ITF Women Astana: Completed Match: Arina Arifullina vs Su Jeong JangYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.