Tennis · resolved market
ITF Milano: Federico Iannaccone vs Petr Nesterov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1603cb364c0f976f590ffd75d92cc708cc03708a37bd708df2f0f95ccef3760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Petr Nesterovof Federico Iannaccone, Petr Nesterov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Petr Nesterov | 53c | 1,129$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.86 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Federico Iannaccone | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Federico Iannaccone | 40c | 357.41$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.95 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Petr Nesterov | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Federico Iannaccone | 44c | 241.52$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.27 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Petr Nesterov | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef77…c481backed Federico Iannaccone | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Federico Iannaccone | 45c | 179.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Petr Nesterov | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Federico Iannaccone | 57c | 132.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Petr Nesterov | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Federico Iannaccone | 80c | 65.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a9…3579backed Federico Iannaccone | 61c | 64.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Federico Iannaccone | 21c | 50.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Petr Nesterov | 40c | 50.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Petr Nesterov | 60c | 50.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Petr Nesterov | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Petr Nesterov | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Petr Nesterov | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 124 | 62.1%77 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Federico Iannaccone | 46c | 33.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Petr Nesterov | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Petr Nesterov | 43c | 30.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Federico Iannaccone | 47c | 25.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Federico Iannaccone | 64c | 19.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Petr Nesterov | 58c | 19.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Federico Iannaccone | 62c | 18.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.