CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1721a783e485fb37bd21b1892bba30e4ff490190511b4eb8d6a1443be87bfa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof RED Canids, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked RED Canids | 51c | 3,786$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.7 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked BESTIA | 50c | 1,981$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.33 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked BESTIA | 38c | 1,012$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.08 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed BESTIA | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked RED Canids | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…bb5dbacked BESTIA | 52c | 631.22$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BESTIA | 28c | 586.5$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.58 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked RED Canids | 64c | 546.83$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.66 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed BESTIA | 51c | 377$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.27 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed RED Canids | 49c | 277$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.27 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed RED Canids | 53c | 159.66$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.92 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked RED Canids | 49c | 109.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed RED Canids | 66c | 107.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed RED Canids | 45c | 84.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed BESTIA | 27c | 62.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed RED Canids | 61c | 58.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…1a07backed RED Canids | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed BESTIA | 53c | 46.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed RED Canids | 49c | 35.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed RED Canids | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked RED Canids | 53c | 30.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed BESTIA | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed BESTIA | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked RED Canids | 43c | 28.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -9.7wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed RED Canids | 49c | 20.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed BESTIA | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs BESTIA (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier PlayoffsRED Canids won
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs BESTIA - Map 1 WinnerRED Canids won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.