Tennis · resolved market
Martin Landaluce vs. Vit Kopriva: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1eccad2b27c313541c868b6afc7680b8c4ec4383feed9d3f0f841064d1a38e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc827…c066backed Over 3.5 | 67c | 2,551$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.48 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under 3.5 | 33c | 2,013$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.01 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482f…7504backed Over 3.5 | 67c | 1,439$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.38 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under 3.5 | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.5 | 33c | 530$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…303fbacked Under 3.5 | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under 3.5 | 38c | 134.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 122.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under 3.5 | 33c | 103$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…2c38backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under 3.5 | 34c | 70.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Under 3.5 | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under 3.5 | 35c | 47.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7913…f3e2backed Over 3.5 | 67c | 44.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under 3.5 | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under 3.5 | 34c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under 3.5 | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Martin Landaluce vs. Vit Kopriva: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Landaluce vs. Kopriva: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Martin Landaluce vs. Vit Kopriva: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit KoprivaMartin Landaluce won
- Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs KoprivaKopriva won
- Set Handicap: Kopriva (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)Landaluce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.