Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Lily Taylor vs Sarah Mildren
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf213527039e006ab28847c5fabba56edf2b7d5fd4e4e3558d62ac29edc30c075
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sarah Mildrenof Lily Taylor, Sarah Mildren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Lily Taylor | 41c | 4,300$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.2 | 152 | 25%38 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Lily Taylor | 43c | 1,769$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.36 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Sarah Mildren | 47c | 1,619$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.37 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sarah Mildren | 57c | 1,500$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lily Taylor | 58c | 1,160$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.97 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sarah Mildren | 35c | 840.58$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.38 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Sarah Mildren | 37c | 711.86$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.86 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Sarah Mildren | 60c | 670$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.9 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Sarah Mildren | 51c | 395.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.15 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lily Taylor | 47c | 365.09$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.51 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Sarah Mildren | 41c | 308.29$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lily Taylor | 23c | 227.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc7…29a1backed Sarah Mildren | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Sarah Mildren | 50c | 152$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Sarah Mildren | 33c | 139.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Sarah Mildren | 33c | 125.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lily Taylor | 32c | 118.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Lily Taylor | 32c | 115.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Sarah Mildren | 35c | 108.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Sarah Mildren | 39c | 102.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.76 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Sarah Mildren | 55c | 91.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lily Taylor | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Sarah Mildren | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Sarah Mildren | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Sarah Mildren | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Sarah Mildren | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Sarah Mildren | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sarah Mildren | 66c | 52.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Sarah Mildren | 59c | 50.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Sarah Mildren | 66c | 49.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Sarah Mildren | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Sarah Mildren | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Sarah Mildren | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sarah Mildren | 37c | 41.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Sarah Mildren | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Lily Taylor | 48c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Sarah Mildren | 37c | 27.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Sarah Mildren | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Lily Taylor | 61c | 22.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Sarah Mildren | 59c | 21.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sarah Mildren | 69c | 14.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.