La Liga · resolved market
FC Andorra vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf229fe1e3c73ef916724d503b4da9aaef384a0878c3cda94e42044d93bc3f01b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,106$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.53 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 56c | 323.19$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.19 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…48d4backed Over | 29c | 283.8$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.93 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 236.43$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.29 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 155.87$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.37 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 70c | 120.8$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 45c | 112.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +8.2wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 28c | 68.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 62c | 64.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked Over | 49c | 61.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 58.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 41c | 35.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Over | 60c | 28.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Under | 63c | 20.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Andorra vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Andorra vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Andorra vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Andorra vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Andorra vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-2.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-2.5)FC Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.