CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Omega vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf26ee6443308328b6ea8fe5888ec23fab000dc22ce6ba2fdfa0db73217ebf087
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof Omega, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Omega | 49c | 903.72$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.32 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Ares | 71c | 860.18$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.64 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed G2 Ares | 62c | 765.34$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Omega | 30c | 720.26$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.54 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked G2 Ares | 50c | 579.97$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 Ares | 51c | 546.84$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.61 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Omega | 22c | 542.75$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.32 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Omega | 27c | 456.12$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.95 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed G2 Ares | 52c | 394.01$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.12 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Omega | 28c | 355.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed G2 Ares | 77c | 321.25$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3aef…da41backed G2 Ares | 67c | 309.99$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed G2 Ares | 57c | 286.03$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.38 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked G2 Ares | 78c | 283.77$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Omega | 10c | 253.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Omega | 11c | 230.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked G2 Ares | 52c | 221.09$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.27 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Omega | 35c | 216.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Omega | 35c | 196.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed G2 Ares | 75c | 195.55$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed G2 Ares | 53c | 188$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Omega | 23c | 158.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Omega | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked Omega | 32c | 149.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Omega | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Omega | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed G2 Ares | 53c | 106.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Omega | 21c | 105.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed G2 Ares | 69c | 104.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed G2 Ares | 72c | 102.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed G2 Ares | 74c | 92.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked G2 Ares | 54c | 91.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed G2 Ares | 67c | 83.81$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Omega | 37c | 80.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed G2 Ares | 68c | 72.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Omega | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked G2 Ares | 69c | 65.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…261fbacked G2 Ares | 80c | 62.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed G2 Ares | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Omega | 49c | 59.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 Ares | 64c | 57.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Omega | 34c | 55.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed G2 Ares | 73c | 53.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…90fbbacked G2 Ares | 71c | 52.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Omega | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…cf2dbacked G2 Ares | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Omega | 33c | 45.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Omega | 48c | 44.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Omega | 48c | 41.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed G2 Ares | 71c | 41.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…7745backed G2 Ares | 74c | 38.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x195f…8397backed G2 Ares | 79c | 37.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Omega | 35c | 34.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Omega | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed G2 Ares | 71c | 28.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d5…5bbebacked G2 Ares | 74c | 26.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed G2 Ares | 57c | 25.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked G2 Ares | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed G2 Ares | 64c | 23.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs G2 Ares - Map 1 WinnerG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs G2 Ares - Map 2 WinnerOmega won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.