Boxing · resolved market
Chris Billam-Smith vs. Brandon Glanton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf29e8581b4237df2c93e5196c9765e6d9eb58b6d9626dee641eba8e12bce2dd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billam-Smithof Billam-Smith, Glanton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07d6…3a90backed Billam-Smith | 49c | 31,105$15,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,863.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd299…840fbacked Glanton | 51c | 31,105$15,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,863.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…d733backed Glanton | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…4830backed Billam-Smith | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…2e50backed Glanton | 51c | 1,015$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Glanton | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecd…0486backed Glanton | 51c | 380$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…a6d3backed Glanton | 50c | 380$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Glanton | 47c | 222$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Billam-Smith | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Glanton | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…9ce3backed Billam-Smith | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Glanton | 48c | 131.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chris Billam-Smith vs. Brandon Glantonthis page
- Anthony Yarde vs. Lyndon ArthurYarde won
- Chris Eubank Jr. vs. Conor BennEubank Jr. won
- Liam Smith vs. Aaron McKennaMcKenna won
- Viddal Riley vs. Cheavon ClarkeRiley won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.