South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Juventud win on 2026-04-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf34636a42b6ab90d5afb76af11d58ec30be19553c6b2fba6758414fc03953fca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 54c | 13,648$7,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,333.13 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Yes | 46c | 3,626$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.09 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 47c | 2,538$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.63 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 46c | 2,397$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.5 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 53c | 2,343$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.78 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 52c | 1,495$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.56 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 46c | 1,018$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.55 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 46c | 901$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.54 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked No | 55c | 654.55$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 47c | 638.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.29 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 38c | 483.2$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.68 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 47c | 425.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.52 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Yes | 46c | 402.54$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.37 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…bbb5backed Yes | 50c | 402.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 46c | 304.35$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.35 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 47c | 269.07$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.61 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 46c | 234.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 46c | 221.74$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.74 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…970abacked Yes | 54c | 220.97$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 47c | 117.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…b8edbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…26f7backed Yes | 47c | 106.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 40c | 102.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Yes | 63c | 79.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 47c | 75.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 35c | 62.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 55.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Yes | 68c | 52.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Yes | 54c | 46.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 47c | 33.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 35c | 30.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 34c | 29.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 55c | 26.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 40c | 25.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 46c | 25.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Yes | 46c | 24.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 46c | 22.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Juventud win on 2026-04-29?this page
- Will Academia Puerto Cabello win on 2026-04-29?No won
- Will CA Juventud vs. Academia Puerto Cabello end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.