South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Juventud vs. Academia Puerto Cabello end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2fe5b51b3115a8f778ec4e3dd2e17feaf087674ffd881ef9b26430e48d6bccf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 31c | 1,017$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.15 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 966.81$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.71 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 68c | 609.38$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.1 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 23c | 511$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.93 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 478.46$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.05 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 68c | 475.36$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.12 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 66c | 294.12$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…f39abacked Yes | 28c | 292.32$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce7f…de96backed Yes | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 69c | 151.61$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 135.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 100.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 69c | 74.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 33c | 66.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 19c | 63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Yes | 35c | 62.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 31c | 55.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 25c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…7e33backed Yes | 30c | 34.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 33.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 72c | 23.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Juventud vs. Academia Puerto Cabello end in a draw?this page
- Will Academia Puerto Cabello win on 2026-04-29?No won
- Will CA Juventud win on 2026-04-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.