Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: VCU Rams (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3465d75710fe65e4ee33616ccee61ab13bc4d707153a8e7298f5f6cb9cedf43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VCU Ramsof VCU Rams, Fordham Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed VCU Rams | 53c | 50,266$26,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,632.81 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed VCU Rams | 30c | 17,961$5,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,572.81 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Fordham Rams | 47c | 13,169$6,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,189.2 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Fordham Rams | 47c | 1,883$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.21 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Fordham Rams | 47c | 1,665$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.72 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Fordham Rams | 47c | 991.28$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.9 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed VCU Rams | 51c | 652.29$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.62 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Fordham Rams | 51c | 490$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed VCU Rams | 47c | 466.2$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.07 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fordham Rams | 49c | 429.14$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.28 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked VCU Rams | 34c | 374.05$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.48 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Fordham Rams | 50c | 263.47$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.74 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fordham Rams | 62c | 117.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Fordham Rams | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf06…b605backed VCU Rams | 33c | 79.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fordham Rams | 69c | 58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Fordham Rams | 52c | 51.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Fordham Rams | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Fordham Rams | 62c | 36.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: VCU Rams (-12.5)this page
- Fordham Rams vs. VCU RamsVCU Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.