Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf393edb39f904c27ce45133a0c3bc126439d2e8df5c281259dac05b8e767ba9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Over | 35c | 7,770$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 65c | 5,752$3,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.4 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 78c | 875.01$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 22c | 754.35$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.96 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 64c | 700$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 1,232 | 49.4%609 W · 623 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 65c | 676.87$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.91 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Under | 70c | 245.5$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…39d1backed Under | 65c | 244.75$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.66 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 30c | 212.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Under | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb74…3fabbacked Under | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835f…6ff7backed Under | 68c | 115.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 34c | 86.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Under | 70c | 84.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Under | 68c | 58.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked Over | 23c | 57.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Under | 78c | 49.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 383 | 44.6%171 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Over | 34c | 31.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Under | 68c | 29.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…5289backed Over | 48c | 21.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.