Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc354c6a8d00c9ca74b93b118e7caefb1013a6b9e0f911840afa0672bd8ad41d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, SK Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked SK Gaming | 37c | 8,115$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.61 | 969 | 48.6%471 W · 498 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 3,104$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.53 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 1,585$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.29 | 922 | 54%498 W · 424 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed SK Gaming | 15c | 1,388$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.24 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed SK Gaming | 38c | 980.24$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.49 | 1,184 | 44.4%526 W · 658 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Karmine Corp | 63c | 776.03$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.13 | 256 | 68.4%175 W · 81 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Karmine Corp | 63c | 700$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2248…bc0ebacked Karmine Corp | 72c | 681.71$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.08 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed SK Gaming | 28c | 576$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 549.99$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 1,117 | 48.8%545 W · 572 L | +40.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked SK Gaming | 39c | 370.54$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.51 | 281 | 50.5%142 W · 139 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Karmine Corp | 61c | 368.2$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.6 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 308.85$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.27 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 282.48$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 263.15$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.63 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Karmine Corp | 63c | 232.81$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 217.29$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 655 | 63.2%414 W · 241 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed SK Gaming | 37c | 189.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 963 | 50.2%483 W · 480 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed SK Gaming | 17c | 188.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…5e77backed SK Gaming | 39c | 187.13$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Karmine Corp | 62c | 156.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 326 | 50.3%164 W · 162 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…865cbacked Karmine Corp | 63c | 155.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…79bbbacked Karmine Corp | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 116.4$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed SK Gaming | 27c | 112.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked SK Gaming | 37c | 105.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 102.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked SK Gaming | 26c | 100.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 680 | 63.4%431 W · 249 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 79.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…56d2backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 78.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb22…13b0backed Karmine Corp | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Karmine Corp | 63c | 58.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…357bbacked Karmine Corp | 73c | 53.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9d…5d14backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 50.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed SK Gaming | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…4500backed SK Gaming | 39c | 49.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed SK Gaming | 37c | 49.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…e3ddbacked Karmine Corp | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…22e0backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 46.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked Karmine Corp | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 187 | 56.7%106 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked SK Gaming | 32c | 36.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 785 | 49.9%392 W · 393 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a41…c739backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 35.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Karmine Corp | 63c | 34.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 822 | 60.9%501 W · 321 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 32.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…09c1backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked SK Gaming | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc8…d12ebacked Karmine Corp | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.