Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bistrita: Stefan Horia Haita vs Robert Guna
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf39b9a100b977ae0ffa79c87268dcaefbd9f2c440eb5bb81be058a4d24730eef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefan Horia Haitaof Stefan Horia Haita, Robert Guna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Stefan Horia Haita | 59c | 1,041$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.03 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Robert Guna | 34c | 560$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Robert Guna | 13c | 520.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Robert Guna | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Stefan Horia Haita | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Robert Guna | 41c | 497.22$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.86 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…93c7backed Stefan Horia Haita | 59c | 497.22$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.86 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Robert Guna | 41c | 441.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.91 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Robert Guna | 5c | 428.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed Robert Guna | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…20e4backed Stefan Horia Haita | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 102 | 64.7%66 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 58c | 362.14$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.1 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Robert Guna | 42c | 356.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Robert Guna | 38c | 309$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 66c | 273$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Robert Guna | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Robert Guna | 42c | 141.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 57c | 115.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 68c | 107.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Stefan Horia Haita | 58c | 84.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Robert Guna | 42c | 76.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Stefan Horia Haita | 55c | 60.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Robert Guna | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Stefan Horia Haita | 55c | 39.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Robert Guna | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Robert Guna | 40c | 25.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Robert Guna | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stefan Horia Haita | 60c | 17.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Stefan Horia Haita | 57c | 17.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.