Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bergamo: Seydina Andre vs Louis Larue
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3d285aaa71aeb39b08b3339337debf3407925ac3f7796ba478a24227aa4a2bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louis Larueof Seydina Andre, Louis Larue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Seydina Andre | 57c | 2,712$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.9 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Louis Larue | 40c | 2,148$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.27 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Seydina Andre | 68c | 1,141$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.12 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Louis Larue | 41c | 803$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.07 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Louis Larue | 37c | 643.83$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.84 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Seydina Andre | 63c | 345.49$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.97 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Louis Larue | 57c | 277.34$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.23 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Louis Larue | 30c | 154.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Seydina Andre | 44c | 149$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Seydina Andre | 39c | 131.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Louis Larue | 31c | 113.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Louis Larue | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Louis Larue | 43c | 76.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Seydina Andre | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Louis Larue | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Seydina Andre | 49c | 48.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…a6b4backed Louis Larue | 37c | 45.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Louis Larue | 71c | 44.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Louis Larue | 56c | 36.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Louis Larue | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Louis Larue | 40c | 31.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Louis Larue | 42c | 28.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Seydina Andre | 72c | 19.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Louis Larue | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…be40backed Seydina Andre | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.