Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3dddeb9ba2d3a17b0c2bc34fd84e85e5a070b2e73ca5f7019fc4ea27878eeff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNLV Runnin' Rebelsof UNLV Runnin' Rebels, Boise State Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 20c | 10,049$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,013.59 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f674backed Boise State Broncos | 80c | 2,510$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Boise State Broncos | 80c | 1,658$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.4 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 19c | 1,333$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.58 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 9c | 1,298$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.01 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 20c | 685.07$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.6 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 18c | 253.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 28c | 200$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.1 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Boise State Broncos | 77c | 119.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.91 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 13c | 110.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Boise State Broncos | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…7350backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 16c | 83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e4abbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 29c | 51.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Boise State Broncos | 28c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Boise State Broncos | 79c | 24.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.