TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Bradley Braves vs. Drake Bulldogs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bradley Bravesof Bradley Braves, Drake Bulldogs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,094
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,870

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,094 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Bradley Braves52c6,773$3,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,238.5712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Drake Bulldogs46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9939744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Drake Bulldogs47c4,020$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.841,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Bradley Braves54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8557248.1%275 W · 297 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bradley Braves53c1,747$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.0560548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Drake Bulldogs7c1,440$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.964,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Drake Bulldogs36c1,125$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.615,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Bradley Braves52c777.45$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.5997447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Drake Bulldogs10c740.46$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7255840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Drake Bulldogs52c740$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.813746.7%64 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bradley Braves51c721$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.92,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Drake Bulldogs39c720.67$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.2794036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Bradley Braves54c499.76$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.8982048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bradley Braves58c447.16$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.245,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Drake Bulldogs37c427.39$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.171,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Bradley Braves80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505052%26 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Drake Bulldogs51c244.58$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1625239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Drake Bulldogs48c235.58$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7193447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Drake Bulldogs52c226.86$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9758345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Bradley Braves48c226.86$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9715748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Bradley Braves51c204.08$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013052.3%68 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Drake Bulldogs48c151$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.486750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Bradley Braves78c141.66$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6618167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Bradley Braves47c127.63$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.654,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Drake Bulldogs45c109$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Bradley Braves55c108.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0525043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Bradley Braves48c104.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4811354.9%62 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Drake Bulldogs33c99.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5266831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Drake Bulldogs33c96.85$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.545953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bradley Braves76c91$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.743,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8c2…d3ddbacked Drake Bulldogs47c85.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.342250%11 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed Bradley Braves61c53.95$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.052948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Bradley Braves61c52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.599848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Drake Bulldogs53c50.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Bradley Braves50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Drake Bulldogs47c46.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5acf…0df2backed Drake Bulldogs46c43.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Drake Bulldogs51c36.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.623237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Drake Bulldogs56c35.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Drake Bulldogs39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.764658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Bradley Braves54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.852353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Bradley Braves51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7220051.5%103 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edb…9963backed Drake Bulldogs61c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+87.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c5d…76b0backed Drake Bulldogs44c29.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.191729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Drake Bulldogs67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Bradley Braves51c28.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1710043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Bradley Braves53c27.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0669350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Bradley Braves55c27.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3611445.6%52 W · 62 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Bradley Braves65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7568254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Bradley Braves53c24.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.742572%18 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+30.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bradley Braves49c24.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.354,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Bradley Braves58c19.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1738345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.