CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs ALKA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4411be4470e27c595fcc2e458964c4dea46358d14cef7497dcfad3b18673085
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALKAof Grêmio Esports, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Grêmio Esports | 35c | 588.25$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.12 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ALKA | 77c | 473.65$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.11 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grêmio Esports | 36c | 434.56$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.44 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ALKA | 66c | 349.14$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ALKA | 64c | 190.61$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ALKA | 62c | 156.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ALKA | 67c | 119.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Grêmio Esports | 37c | 115.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Grêmio Esports | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked ALKA | 64c | 94.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ALKA | 61c | 74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Grêmio Esports | 17c | 73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ALKA | 78c | 72.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed ALKA | 70c | 71.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Grêmio Esports | 29c | 56.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Grêmio Esports | 27c | 55.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa63f…b685backed Grêmio Esports | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed ALKA | 63c | 53.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed ALKA | 60c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Grêmio Esports | 33c | 39.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ALKA | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs ALKA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group StageALKA won
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs ALKA - Map 1 WinnerGrêmio Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.