CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce62a5adede9b7c292cc7744c5fad5895e73654c6f6cf029c395c3661b43d4f5

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Grêmio Esportsof Grêmio Esports, ALKA
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $24,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $26,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,227 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84ad…bfb7backed Grêmio Esports	56c	1,863$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$823.51	1,110	54.2%602 W · 508 L	+38.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Grêmio Esports	53c	1,745$932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$812.38	1,790	59.2%1,060 W · 730 L	+106.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked ALKA	38c	1,713$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658.84	2,328	51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L	+92.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked ALKA	19c	957.2$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.62	76	17.1%13 W · 63 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ALKA	37c	702.38$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.59	3,544	29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L	-289.1wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed ALKA	31c	650$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.5	205	62.4%128 W · 77 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Grêmio Esports	60c	585.64$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.75	1,431	39%558 W · 873 L	-41.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ALKA	13c	573.99$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.05	5,034	37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L	-260.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed ALKA	48c	503.14$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.34	2,456	44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L	-67.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Grêmio Esports	59c	495.89$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.27	1,041	53.1%553 W · 488 L	+63.4wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebd9…bdc7backed Grêmio Esports	50c	349.37$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.16	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ALKA	12c	320.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.28	5,341	31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L	-390.7wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed ALKA	49c	310.88$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.33	1,325	44.1%584 W · 741 L	+44.1wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked ALKA	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	202	38.6%78 W · 124 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ALKA	57c	293.65$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.36	4,099	51%2,091 W · 2,008 L	+74.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed Grêmio Esports	46c	250$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	331	46.5%154 W · 177 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ALKA	54c	249.31$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.22	7,990	50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L	+180.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ALKA	49c	244.77$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.89	2,664	30.8%820 W · 1,844 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Grêmio Esports	60c	178.39$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.89	4,754	43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L	-85.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Grêmio Esports	44c	160.73$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.09	2,672	47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L	-31.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Grêmio Esports	68c	156.25$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	127	48%61 W · 66 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed Grêmio Esports	46c	150.89$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.89	308	59.1%182 W · 126 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x180a…bd66backed Grêmio Esports	41c	123.27$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.27	163	55.2%90 W · 73 L	-8.3wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed ALKA	53c	122.67$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.13	890	46.1%410 W · 480 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Grêmio Esports	58c	113.36$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.46	245	58%142 W · 103 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed ALKA	54c	109.21$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.2	126	54.8%69 W · 57 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6bf1…294fbacked Grêmio Esports	46c	104.41$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.41	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked ALKA	41c	102$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.74	2,798	37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L	-138.2wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Grêmio Esports	51c	99.98$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.99	735	53.5%393 W · 342 L	+28.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Grêmio Esports	62c	97.32$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.98	1,676	51.1%857 W · 819 L	+21.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b3f…6816backed ALKA	62c	95.09$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.82	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed ALKA	43c	83.89$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.38	702	42.2%296 W · 406 L	-17.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Grêmio Esports	56c	82.66$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.34	967	43.5%421 W · 546 L	-20.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ALKA	50c	76.83$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.13	2,397	42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L	-73.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Grêmio Esports	56c	70$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.83	2,393	46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed ALKA	29c	68.35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.65	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x75b4…12b2backed Grêmio Esports	30c	67.1$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.1	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.31per pick	35cpaid	+84.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Grêmio Esports	70c	65.26$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.79	2,143	47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L	-61.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked ALKA	49c	61.81$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.53	2,195	43.1%946 W · 1,249 L	-68.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3edb…11b8backed ALKA	49c	60.02$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.41	85	41.2%35 W · 50 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked ALKA	33c	60.01$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	2,530	34.6%876 W · 1,654 L	-193.6wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xecf3…35aabacked ALKA	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e3…de04backed Grêmio Esports	47c	58.9$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.15	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+4.9wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed ALKA	48c	48$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.24	2,554	41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L	-116.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Grêmio Esports	65c	48$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	114	53.5%61 W · 53 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Grêmio Esports	77c	47.9$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.23	138	71%98 W · 40 L	+13.7wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+12%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed ALKA	54c	47$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.22	514	46.9%241 W · 273 L	-22.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Grêmio Esports	53c	46$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.51	3,949	36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L	-201.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b92…a6e3backed ALKA	31c	45$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked ALKA	34c	41.14$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	220	37.3%82 W · 138 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef2…4cdfbacked Grêmio Esports	42c	40.57$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.57	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Grêmio Esports	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.06	754	38.9%293 W · 461 L	-38.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked ALKA	39c	38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Grêmio Esports	50c	35$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	1,632	43.2%705 W · 927 L	-32.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed ALKA	41c	34.11$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.95	77	26%20 W · 57 L	-8.1wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde55…1d2abacked Grêmio Esports	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	92	59.8%55 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed ALKA	35c	31.74$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	250	42.4%106 W · 144 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Grêmio Esports	78c	30.97$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.77	1,890	41.9%791 W · 1,099 L	-71.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Grêmio Esports	49c	28.92$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.75	1,315	51.1%672 W · 643 L	-99.5wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7126…bfcbbacked Grêmio Esports	66c	27.2$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	195	48.2%94 W · 101 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked ALKA	59c	25.42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	211	59.7%126 W · 85 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked ALKA	62c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	2,605	52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L	+97.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs ALKA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group StageALKA won
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerALKA won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event