Lol · resolved market
LoL: Hooligans vs Croatian Flair x RLX (BO3) - EBL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf472a356126f79f5836be14a5c51d923ad2b4af93d249d69239f006c9fe24a0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hooligansof Hooligans, Croatian Flair x RLX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Croatian Flair x RLX | 53c | 760$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.8 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Hooligans | 76c | 590$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.72 | 1,348 | 47.3%637 W · 711 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hooligans | 47c | 527.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.89 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…bf8ebacked Croatian Flair x RLX | 50c | 191.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…c606backed Hooligans | 60c | 107.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +14.0wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Croatian Flair x RLX | 44c | 107.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 343 | 40.5%139 W · 204 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed Hooligans | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 549 | 32.4%178 W · 371 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Hooligans | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hooligans | 53c | 48.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…47eabacked Hooligans | 71c | 47.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f62…c3e0backed Hooligans | 27c | 43.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed Croatian Flair x RLX | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Croatian Flair x RLX | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 1,085 | 46.2%501 W · 584 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Croatian Flair x RLX | 51c | 38.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hooligans | 72c | 38.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Croatian Flair x RLX | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -21.1wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Croatian Flair x RLX | 73c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -52.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Hooligans | 32c | 33.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Hooligans | 55c | 23.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 358 | 35.5%127 W · 231 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…71ebbacked Croatian Flair x RLX | 74c | 13.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 281 | 45.9%129 W · 152 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.