Tennis · resolved market
Bucaramanga: Guido Justo vs Bruno Fernandez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4808bd8491b1757f7182ec8dee61a48aeef2d3fb420650763171b54a1f98132
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guido Justoof Guido Justo, Bruno Fernandez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,679 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bruno Fernandez | 30c | 2,385$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.72 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Guido Justo | 70c | 1,907$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.4 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bruno Fernandez | 26c | 609.96$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.59 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Bruno Fernandez | 32c | 448.3$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.38 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bruno Fernandez | 17c | 386.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Bruno Fernandez | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Guido Justo | 68c | 330.92$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bruno Fernandez | 22c | 307.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Guido Justo | 72c | 300.7$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Bruno Fernandez | 16c | 275.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Guido Justo | 74c | 265.35$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Guido Justo | 80c | 258$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Bruno Fernandez | 22c | 252.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Guido Justo | 73c | 244.06$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bruno Fernandez | 24c | 237$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Guido Justo | 74c | 197.27$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 346 | 48.3%167 W · 179 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Bruno Fernandez | 24c | 194.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bruno Fernandez | 9c | 193.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bruno Fernandez | 26c | 161.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Bruno Fernandez | 22c | 143.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc45…2957backed Guido Justo | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bruno Fernandez | 25c | 135.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…1d57backed Guido Justo | 77c | 130.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 74cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Guido Justo | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Bruno Fernandez | 23c | 118.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Guido Justo | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Guido Justo | 74c | 97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 980 | 55.4%543 W · 437 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Guido Justo | 79c | 87.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Guido Justo | 76c | 67.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Guido Justo | 74c | 66.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Guido Justo | 73c | 62.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bruno Fernandez | 25c | 56.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Guido Justo | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bruno Fernandez | 26c | 55.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Bruno Fernandez | 22c | 51.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Guido Justo | 77c | 47.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Bruno Fernandez | 26c | 47.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Guido Justo | 62c | 46.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Guido Justo | 75c | 36.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 476 | 53.2%253 W · 223 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…7d5bbacked Guido Justo | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Bruno Fernandez | 38c | 30.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Bruno Fernandez | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Guido Justo | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…c59fbacked Guido Justo | 79c | 25.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 104 | 74%77 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Guido Justo | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Guido Justo | 76c | 21.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 349 | 50.4%176 W · 173 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Guido Justo | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ea…d849backed Guido Justo | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Guido Justo | 78c | 17.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Guido Justo | 78c | 17.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed Guido Justo | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Guido Justo | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2e25backed Guido Justo | 80c | 13.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.