CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Subtop De France (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4b45fe87bb689ac2ee100309f661118d6aa99b50d796a9c9bdd360ab6f0f833
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Subtop De Franceof OlyBet SB, Subtop De France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0159…db47backed OlyBet SB | 42c | 4,486$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Subtop De France | 57c | 1,138$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.32 | 235 | 37.9%89 W · 146 L | -16.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Subtop De France | 63c | 1,000$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.4 | 594 | 45.8%272 W · 322 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Subtop De France | 52c | 949.63$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.29 | 414 | 50.7%210 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Subtop De France | 61c | 668.72$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.1 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed OlyBet SB | 68c | 572$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.12 | 455 | 65.9%300 W · 155 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked OlyBet SB | 36c | 570.3$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.57 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked OlyBet SB | 71c | 489.56$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.67 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Subtop De France | 49c | 476.11$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.21 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked OlyBet SB | 54c | 413.16$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.45 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Subtop De France | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Subtop De France | 70c | 352.96$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Subtop De France | 35c | 313.87$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.36 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked OlyBet SB | 31c | 312.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Subtop De France | 45c | 226.8$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.14 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Subtop De France | 66c | 211.28$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked OlyBet SB | 66c | 210$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.8 | 268 | 54.5%146 W · 122 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed OlyBet SB | 38c | 209.77$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Subtop De France | 43c | 208.64$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.43 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked OlyBet SB | 45c | 206$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Subtop De France | 70c | 202.14$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 443 | 44%195 W · 248 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Subtop De France | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked OlyBet SB | 37c | 187.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Subtop De France | 65c | 180.76$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked Subtop De France | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked OlyBet SB | 68c | 179.44$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.54 | 769 | 33.8%260 W · 509 L | -48.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Subtop De France | 30c | 163.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.83 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Subtop De France | 49c | 149.36$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed OlyBet SB | 32c | 136.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Subtop De France | 39c | 125.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Subtop De France | 25c | 122.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.12 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Subtop De France | 34c | 119.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Subtop De France | 37c | 96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked OlyBet SB | 41c | 83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…d2d1backed OlyBet SB | 69c | 73.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…9fcfbacked OlyBet SB | 72c | 73.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…8a71backed OlyBet SB | 75c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0296…ad01backed Subtop De France | 69c | 62.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Subtop De France | 75c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 498 | 43%214 W · 284 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…4985backed Subtop De France | 35c | 56.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…9fcabacked Subtop De France | 40c | 52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed OlyBet SB | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1843…4ee5backed OlyBet SB | 60c | 46.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked OlyBet SB | 55c | 44.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Subtop De France | 31c | 38.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked OlyBet SB | 40c | 34.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…df38backed OlyBet SB | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…041dbacked OlyBet SB | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -13.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked OlyBet SB | 75c | 25.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6389…df11backed OlyBet SB | 76c | 23.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Subtop De France | 50c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 230 | 37.8%87 W · 143 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed OlyBet SB | 67c | 20.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Subtop De France (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Subtop De France - Map 1 WinnerOlyBet SB won
- Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Subtop De France - Map 2 WinnerSubtop De France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.