MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf525f54b6e23052bfc85f37bac1c3d91b8bfa871d37762efa993a93db1752622
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 11,095$5,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,658.45 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +7.7wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 1,432$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 1,250$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.5 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,080$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.68 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 604.17$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.17 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 345.49$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.65 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 283.47$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.24 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Minnesota Twins | 13c | 170$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 50.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9584…380bbacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Minnesota Twins | 60c | 25.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.