Premier League · resolved market
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5304fde48afef48be6e3b81a0d8d90b85c69318ce23be608ef7d8a2efab4ed2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 1,483$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.69 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 76c | 1,434$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.52 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 23c | 1,300$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 757.15$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.58 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe8…32dfbacked Yes | 33c | 354.55$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab5c…3fbdbacked Yes | 25c | 333.54$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 254.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.72 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 26c | 207.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.82 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 54c | 188.32$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 34c | 141.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 27c | 123.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.69 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 28c | 121.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 27c | 110$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 70c | 106.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 56c | 104.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 33c | 103.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 73c | 62.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed No | 74c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5990…6095backed Yes | 33c | 44.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 33c | 41.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 61c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 24.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed No | 74c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 74c | 17.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 14.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Watford FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.