CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf54ca8ba8fa9e2052afed513b10cb9ac6687e96c4993eeb6c4356a82ecc61fae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNO MILLEof UNO MILLE, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ALKA | 31c | 1,701$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.44 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ALKA | 20c | 1,499$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.88 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked ALKA | 31c | 968.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…6ba2backed UNO MILLE | 69c | 768.01$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…0d54backed UNO MILLE | 69c | 706.83$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd94d…fc49backed ALKA | 14c | 666.86$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked ALKA | 18c | 553$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked UNO MILLE | 74c | 538.16$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.45 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed ALKA | 20c | 490.4$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed UNO MILLE | 69c | 440.92$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ALKA | 32c | 402.89$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.16 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed UNO MILLE | 69c | 318.87$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.05 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ALKA | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked ALKA | 18c | 258.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed UNO MILLE | 69c | 208.37$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked ALKA | 29c | 166.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed UNO MILLE | 69c | 154.39$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…49bbbacked UNO MILLE | 70c | 154.31$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked UNO MILLE | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ALKA | 10c | 143.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…0058backed UNO MILLE | 69c | 142.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked UNO MILLE | 68c | 131.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed UNO MILLE | 67c | 101.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed UNO MILLE | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed ALKA | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked ALKA | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed ALKA | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked UNO MILLE | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed UNO MILLE | 69c | 89.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed ALKA | 31c | 84.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed ALKA | 19c | 65.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed ALKA | 33c | 57.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed UNO MILLE | 80c | 56.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked ALKA | 19c | 55.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed UNO MILLE | 80c | 54.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed UNO MILLE | 69c | 49.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed UNO MILLE | 69c | 46.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed ALKA | 32c | 44.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7349backed UNO MILLE | 66c | 35.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…89e9backed UNO MILLE | 70c | 35.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eab…5ceabacked ALKA | 33c | 34.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bd…826dbacked UNO MILLE | 71c | 30.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…48b6backed UNO MILLE | 69c | 19.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed UNO MILLE | 68c | 18.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerUNO MILLE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.