Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Vuk Radjenovic vs Samir Hamza Reguig
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf589d390451c687ef9c0486356bb1e1f196f4237f2ed75f569597312a5adfb0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samir Hamza Reguigof Vuk Radjenovic, Samir Hamza Reguig
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Vuk Radjenovic | 62c | 867.46$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.78 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 38c | 599.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 38c | 312.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 27c | 266$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Vuk Radjenovic | 60c | 250.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Vuk Radjenovic | 51c | 187.18$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Vuk Radjenovic | 62c | 126.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vuk Radjenovic | 72c | 111.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Vuk Radjenovic | 64c | 106.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 202 | 70.8%143 W · 59 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Vuk Radjenovic | 20c | 92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Vuk Radjenovic | 62c | 86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 38c | 86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 68c | 53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 37c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 27c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 58c | 42.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 36c | 39.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 40c | 35.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Vuk Radjenovic | 65c | 30.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Vuk Radjenovic | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 71c | 18.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.