Tennis · resolved market
ITF Eupen: Maxence Rivet vs Ferdinand Kloesters
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf591158879fed7b47f443ae9778e7c5980cbf68b070342b9dc4416f1b764dcf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ferdinand Kloestersof Maxence Rivet, Ferdinand Kloesters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6407…d360backed Ferdinand Kloesters | 32c | 472.43$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.65 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Maxence Rivet | 67c | 325.81$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.13 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maxence Rivet | 67c | 226.5$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.34 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ferdinand Kloesters | 73c | 205.17$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Ferdinand Kloesters | 35c | 167$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.38 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Ferdinand Kloesters | 40c | 145.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.47 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Ferdinand Kloesters | 44c | 112.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Maxence Rivet | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Maxence Rivet | 29c | 98.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Maxence Rivet | 62c | 87.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maxence Rivet | 56c | 80.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Maxence Rivet | 28c | 77.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Ferdinand Kloesters | 79c | 76.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Maxence Rivet | 68c | 76.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maxence Rivet | 22c | 60.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ferdinand Kloesters | 44c | 54.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Maxence Rivet | 69c | 37.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ferdinand Kloesters | 39c | 33.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Maxence Rivet | 67c | 32.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -11.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Ferdinand Kloesters | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Maxence Rivet | 56c | 26.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Maxence Rivet | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…eba1backed Ferdinand Kloesters | 75c | 17.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.