Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bali: Alexander Chang vs Shanker Heisnam
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf59610cad9265c988b47f867d211fc9ee71ad6661b765d73930906f05a2e51b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexander Changof Alexander Chang, Shanker Heisnam
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shanker Heisnam | 46c | 4,584$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.6 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alexander Chang | 55c | 2,398$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082 | 6,550 | 54.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L | +287.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alexander Chang | 37c | 1,353$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.16 | 8,057 | 50.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L | +90.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Shanker Heisnam | 12c | 925$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.92 | 374 | 35.3%132 W · 242 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Alexander Chang | 64c | 438.38$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.18 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Shanker Heisnam | 29c | 423.78$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.88 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Alexander Chang | 62c | 361$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.82 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shanker Heisnam | 47c | 274.71$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Alexander Chang | 41c | 250.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.73 | 1,085 | 49.9%541 W · 544 L | +47.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Shanker Heisnam | 35c | 244.79$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 2,090 | 52.2%1,091 W · 999 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Shanker Heisnam | 35c | 210.13$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 1,991 | 52.9%1,053 W · 938 L | +31.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Shanker Heisnam | 21c | 156.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -35.2wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 26-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Alexander Chang | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Alexander Chang | 51c | 141.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 1,472 | 45%662 W · 810 L | +42.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…9223backed Shanker Heisnam | 33c | 131.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Shanker Heisnam | 12c | 113.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 1,857 | 41%762 W · 1,095 L | -32.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Shanker Heisnam | 35c | 97.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Alexander Chang | 61c | 89.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 442 | 47.3%209 W · 233 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Alexander Chang | 59c | 83.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Shanker Heisnam | 54c | 81.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 6,649 | 46.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L | -38.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…a766backed Shanker Heisnam | 19c | 75.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Alexander Chang | 53c | 68.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Alexander Chang | 53c | 67.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Alexander Chang | 53c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Shanker Heisnam | 55c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 5,553 | 48.6%2,700 W · 2,853 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Alexander Chang | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Alexander Chang | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Shanker Heisnam | 36c | 33.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Alexander Chang | 53c | 33.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Alexander Chang | 57c | 26.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Alexander Chang | 66c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alexander Chang | 49c | 23.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 3,731 | 45.3%1,690 W · 2,041 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Alexander Chang | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 679 | 78.8%535 W · 144 L | +50.3wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…d981backed Alexander Chang | 55c | 22.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Alexander Chang | 50c | 20.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Alexander Chang | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…406bbacked Shanker Heisnam | 68c | 17.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Alexander Chang | 72c | 14.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 345 | 52.5%181 W · 164 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.