Tennis · resolved market
ITF Blois: Francesca Curmi vs Alevtina Ibragimova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5a4c1c2e6e98c260cb1bc1ae710d77e225e717aca5051043fe089a312e273da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francesca Curmiof Francesca Curmi, Alevtina Ibragimova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Francesca Curmi | 58c | 1,064$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.76 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Alevtina Ibragimova | 44c | 979.09$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 50c | 604.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd5…af19backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 50c | 455.78$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Francesca Curmi | 57c | 378.01$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.79 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 39c | 259.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Francesca Curmi | 49c | 249.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2572…bb08backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 45c | 219.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Francesca Curmi | 59c | 208.39$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 671 | 31.3%210 W · 461 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Francesca Curmi | 77c | 167.84$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Francesca Curmi | 58c | 160.01$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…70b1backed Francesca Curmi | 51c | 101.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alevtina Ibragimova | 39c | 101$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alevtina Ibragimova | 40c | 97.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Francesca Curmi | 54c | 97.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Francesca Curmi | 57c | 88.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35d…102abacked Alevtina Ibragimova | 40c | 87.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…2b0dbacked Alevtina Ibragimova | 55c | 73.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Francesca Curmi | 55c | 71.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Francesca Curmi | 50c | 66.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a9…41d1backed Francesca Curmi | 61c | 65.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Francesca Curmi | 50c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Francesca Curmi | 50c | 33.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Alevtina Ibragimova | 49c | 32.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 641 | 47.7%306 W · 335 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Francesca Curmi | 73c | 30.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 618 | 55.8%345 W · 273 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Francesca Curmi | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Alevtina Ibragimova | 36c | 28.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe007…af27backed Francesca Curmi | 56c | 25.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…3503backed Francesca Curmi | 75c | 24.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 119 | 68.9%82 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Francesca Curmi | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 908 | 34.1%310 W · 598 L | -43.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Francesca Curmi | 71c | 18.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Francesca Curmi | 67c | 15.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Francesca Curmi | 78c | 15.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 180 | 72.8%131 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.