Tennis · resolved market
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Alicia Dudeney
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5bf8947d1a3b413d1c8e0f93b35c22b8dc0d8a44334cbb4792e843f2fad5e0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Himeno Sakatsumeof Himeno Sakatsume, Alicia Dudeney
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9bd2…f868backed Himeno Sakatsume | 76c | 8,539$6,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.59 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alicia Dudeney | 40c | 6,898$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,766.01 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alicia Dudeney | 60c | 5,280$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,167.94 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9c…b3e0backed Himeno Sakatsume | 48c | 4,054$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.74 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Himeno Sakatsume | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Alicia Dudeney | 3c | 2,628$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Himeno Sakatsume | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alicia Dudeney | 21c | 2,106$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.34 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Alicia Dudeney | 2c | 1,570$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…5ff8backed Alicia Dudeney | 2c | 1,570$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alicia Dudeney | 11c | 1,322$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.11 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Alicia Dudeney | 26c | 1,189$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.8 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +40%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Himeno Sakatsume | 45c | 999.98$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.44 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alicia Dudeney | 41c | 943.46$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.12 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Alicia Dudeney | 2c | 936.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b6…e8babacked Alicia Dudeney | 2c | 936.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Alicia Dudeney | 55c | 754.8$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.14 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…2488backed Alicia Dudeney | 38c | 552.79$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.06 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Alicia Dudeney | 53c | 503.44$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.33 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Himeno Sakatsume | 46c | 500$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.71 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Himeno Sakatsume | 53c | 491.5$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.14 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Alicia Dudeney | 58c | 450.31$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.18 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Himeno Sakatsume | 40c | 433.78$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.78 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…6054backed Alicia Dudeney | 43c | 400$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alicia Dudeney | 56c | 383.02$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.49 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Alicia Dudeney | 58c | 350.76$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.44 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f0…b753backed Himeno Sakatsume | 68c | 314$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 143 | 69.2%99 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Alicia Dudeney | 53c | 285.32$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.83 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 66c | 277.5$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Himeno Sakatsume | 39c | 276.06$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.97 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Alicia Dudeney | 56c | 249.65$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.85 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 46c | 245.35$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Himeno Sakatsume | 45c | 243.37$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Himeno Sakatsume | 48c | 241.31$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.63 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Himeno Sakatsume | 52c | 231.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.57 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Alicia Dudeney | 49c | 202.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Himeno Sakatsume | 47c | 171.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…b19dbacked Alicia Dudeney | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Alicia Dudeney | 35c | 156.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Himeno Sakatsume | 54c | 129.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 44c | 124.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Alicia Dudeney | 52c | 104.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Himeno Sakatsume | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alicia Dudeney | 38c | 92.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alicia Dudeney | 58c | 92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Alicia Dudeney | 54c | 88.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Himeno Sakatsume | 47c | 81.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Himeno Sakatsume | 43c | 78.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Himeno Sakatsume | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked Alicia Dudeney | 25c | 74.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 193 | 49.7%96 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Alicia Dudeney | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed Alicia Dudeney | 50c | 66.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Himeno Sakatsume | 47c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Alicia Dudeney | 53c | 60.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Himeno Sakatsume | 70c | 57.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 63c | 56.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Himeno Sakatsume | 53c | 55.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Himeno Sakatsume | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 197 | 45.7%90 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Himeno Sakatsume | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Himeno Sakatsume | 62c | 47.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…96e9backed Himeno Sakatsume | 65c | 45.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Alicia Dudeney | 53c | 43.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdae…5fbfbacked Alicia Dudeney | 58c | 43.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13cc…962bbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Alicia Dudeney | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Alicia Dudeney | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Himeno Sakatsume | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Himeno Sakatsume | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Himeno Sakatsume | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Himeno Sakatsume | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Himeno Sakatsume | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Alicia Dudeneythis page
- Set 1 Winner: Sakatsume vs DudeneySakatsume won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.