Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ourense: Oceane Dodin vs Arantxa Rus
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5d427e53718dcc793386145ca64b1e949b0f5e1716185cf75d3055a7ddfb3a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oceane Dodinof Oceane Dodin, Arantxa Rus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oceane Dodin | 70c | 928.64$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Oceane Dodin | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Arantxa Rus | 30c | 460.17$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Arantxa Rus | 24c | 251.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Oceane Dodin | 45c | 110.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Oceane Dodin | 49c | 110.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Arantxa Rus | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Arantxa Rus | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Arantxa Rus | 53c | 99.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Arantxa Rus | 44c | 98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Arantxa Rus | 45c | 96.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Arantxa Rus | 34c | 82.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Arantxa Rus | 56c | 73.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Oceane Dodin | 46c | 60.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Arantxa Rus | 54c | 59.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Arantxa Rus | 44c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Arantxa Rus | 39c | 51.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Arantxa Rus | 30c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Arantxa Rus | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arantxa Rus | 42c | 34.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Arantxa Rus | 43c | 29.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Oceane Dodin | 48c | 27.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.