Tennis · resolved market
ITF Mohammedia: Oceane Babel vs Martina Colmegna
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5e41f0cac004964c01137fab287967ff9a139bdf9c16cf85cc5b67c41eb253f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martina Colmegnaof Oceane Babel, Martina Colmegna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Martina Colmegna | 78c | 4,527$3,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.89 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Oceane Babel | 20c | 1,236$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.95 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Oceane Babel | 17c | 717.04$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.16 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db8…9751backed Oceane Babel | 36c | 551.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oceane Babel | 21c | 495.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.09 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oceane Babel | 12c | 476$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Oceane Babel | 18c | 329.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Oceane Babel | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Oceane Babel | 21c | 252.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Oceane Babel | 14c | 202.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Oceane Babel | 32c | 199.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Oceane Babel | 21c | 189.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Martina Colmegna | 68c | 169.24$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Martina Colmegna | 65c | 145.03$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Oceane Babel | 21c | 143$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Oceane Babel | 16c | 97.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Oceane Babel | 21c | 74.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Martina Colmegna | 74c | 74.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Oceane Babel | 25c | 60.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Oceane Babel | 22c | 51.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Oceane Babel | 21c | 50.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Martina Colmegna | 80c | 47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Martina Colmegna | 80c | 46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Martina Colmegna | 71c | 44.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Oceane Babel | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Martina Colmegna | 75c | 40.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Martina Colmegna | 71c | 27.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176f…460abacked Martina Colmegna | 78c | 25.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Martina Colmegna | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.