Tennis · resolved market
ITF Strasbourg: Theo Papamalamis vs Amaury Raynel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf63f85a284c0f7a64c5b3e5b6049568f45a2a3e76f0b76f05fc08afb340a4e93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Theo Papamalamisof Theo Papamalamis, Amaury Raynel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Amaury Raynel | 42c | 5,321$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.33 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Amaury Raynel | 46c | 4,487$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.09 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2690…4089backed Theo Papamalamis | 51c | 1,487$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.79 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Amaury Raynel | 61c | 1,394$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.78 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Amaury Raynel | 24c | 1,342$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Theo Papamalamis | 14c | 1,215$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.81 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Theo Papamalamis | 66c | 904.4$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Theo Papamalamis | 56c | 878.61$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.3 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Theo Papamalamis | 78c | 750$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Amaury Raynel | 67c | 413.3$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.67 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Theo Papamalamis | 64c | 380$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.19 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Amaury Raynel | 66c | 198.04$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Amaury Raynel | 65c | 188.49$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.74 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb040…dbeabacked Theo Papamalamis | 51c | 182.12$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…95ebbacked Theo Papamalamis | 11c | 175.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Theo Papamalamis | 51c | 171.87$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Amaury Raynel | 80c | 143.1$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.34 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Theo Papamalamis | 75c | 134.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Theo Papamalamis | 71c | 105$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Theo Papamalamis | 65c | 103.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Theo Papamalamis | 66c | 95.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Amaury Raynel | 66c | 80.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Theo Papamalamis | 51c | 57.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Amaury Raynel | 67c | 51.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Amaury Raynel | 32c | 51.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Theo Papamalamis | 64c | 41.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Theo Papamalamis | 78c | 36.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Amaury Raynel | 63c | 31.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Amaury Raynel | 55c | 23.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Amaury Raynel | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Theo Papamalamis | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Theo Papamalamis | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Amaury Raynel | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Theo Papamalamis | 79c | 13.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.