Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bol: Andrey Chepelev vs Noa Vukadin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6639ce9bff08f6e26f76f31924e27cb6f38d686c38a2f621a74fdb4bb823710
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noa Vukadinof Andrey Chepelev, Noa Vukadin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Andrey Chepelev | 1c | 12,100$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Andrey Chepelev | 32c | 6,800$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.91 | 365 | 44.9%164 W · 201 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Noa Vukadin | 68c | 4,119$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.19 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Andrey Chepelev | 23c | 3,083$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.61 | 790 | 40.6%321 W · 469 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Andrey Chepelev | 59c | 1,077$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.29 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Noa Vukadin | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Noa Vukadin | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 372 | 57.5%214 W · 158 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Noa Vukadin | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Noa Vukadin | 70c | 418.94$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.65 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Noa Vukadin | 73c | 411.1$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 1,102 | 52.2%575 W · 527 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Noa Vukadin | 79c | 368.01$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…f5bdbacked Andrey Chepelev | 59c | 349.65$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.98 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Noa Vukadin | 67c | 332.4$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Andrey Chepelev | 32c | 305.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Noa Vukadin | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Andrey Chepelev | 44c | 242.93$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Noa Vukadin | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Andrey Chepelev | 25c | 216.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Andrey Chepelev | 23c | 190.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Noa Vukadin | 63c | 162.29$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Noa Vukadin | 68c | 148.34$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Andrey Chepelev | 34c | 128.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Noa Vukadin | 67c | 122.71$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Noa Vukadin | 42c | 121.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Noa Vukadin | 51c | 117.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Andrey Chepelev | 58c | 108$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Noa Vukadin | 46c | 86.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 429 | 51.3%220 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Noa Vukadin | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4166…4f83backed Andrey Chepelev | 43c | 70.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Noa Vukadin | 67c | 68.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Noa Vukadin | 75c | 62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Noa Vukadin | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Noa Vukadin | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Noa Vukadin | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…6428backed Noa Vukadin | 68c | 43.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Noa Vukadin | 44c | 43.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed Noa Vukadin | 68c | 42.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Noa Vukadin | 65c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…d77abacked Noa Vukadin | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Noa Vukadin | 56c | 18.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.