Tennis · resolved market
Wuhan Tennis Open: McCartney Kessler vs Jaqueline Cristian
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf67388a644b2f4f6155c1d2cc465d52f8b3e9bf28b4268d6239115b5f2009f54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cristianof Kessler, Cristian
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kessler | 61c | 2,753$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.59 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kessler | 51c | 1,398$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.98 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Cristian | 49c | 1,388$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.88 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Cristian | 36c | 1,097$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.1 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kessler | 63c | 808$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.27 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kessler | 18c | 503.36$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cristian | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Kessler | 64c | 378.92$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54f…70c3backed Cristian | 49c | 360.06$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cristian | 50c | 285.65$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.16 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kessler | 63c | 157$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Cristian | 35c | 123.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Kessler | 65c | 123.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Kessler | 55c | 102.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Cristian | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Cristian | 35c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Cristian | 59c | 79.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Cristian | 57c | 78.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cristian | 23c | 70$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Kessler | 64c | 59.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cristian | 36c | 58.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Cristian | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cristian | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Kessler | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.