CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf68c5d71e26189e06f3e7c804c6f52d1d5ddffe97a71cca37a98568236ca22b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof 1WIN, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 1WIN | 57c | 2,251$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.1 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…6a81backed Virtus.pro | 42c | 1,008$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.99 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 880.63$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.33 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 719.88$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.51 | 90 | 23.3%21 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked 1WIN | 49c | 690.66$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.7 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 658.21$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.21 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 652.4$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.66 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 1WIN | 46c | 533.9$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.71 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 492.55$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed 1WIN | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0464backed 1WIN | 65c | 365.5$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.75 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1WIN | 55c | 346.15$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.27 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 298.13$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.37 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 297.62$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.62 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed 1WIN | 33c | 292.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6766…0db2backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 221.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked 1WIN | 76c | 210$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed 1WIN | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 212 | 47.6%101 W · 111 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed 1WIN | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked 1WIN | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 1WIN | 62c | 148.72$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.46 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 145.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked 1WIN | 78c | 128$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 128$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 120.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed 1WIN | 21c | 119.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 113.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…e076backed 1WIN | 58c | 92.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro | 22c | 85.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…4f06backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 78.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 77.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed 1WIN | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…9bf9backed 1WIN | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…2c59backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe232…6ceabacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 54.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa03…7e11backed 1WIN | 61c | 49.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed 1WIN | 54c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked 1WIN | 54c | 26.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked 1WIN | 51c | 22.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 228 | 44.3%101 W · 127 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group DVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.