CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82316435ef903aa5fcb731e3cc0ff4dbfd37170dea7e4d2439ffd7489d495f71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof 1WIN, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9348…6664backed 1WIN | 61c | 2,728$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 1,656$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.82 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1WIN | 67c | 885.98$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.78 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 715.08$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.33 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 651.92$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.57 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 624.98$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.49 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked 1WIN | 69c | 325.52$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.01 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 280.7$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.17 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 248.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377a…7dc7backed 1WIN | 61c | 233.61$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1WIN | 30c | 165.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked 1WIN | 64c | 165$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.29 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…dc10backed 1WIN | 75c | 160.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 151.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked 1WIN | 67c | 149$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked 1WIN | 50c | 143.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 328 | 40.2%132 W · 196 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…180abacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 114.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 109.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked 1WIN | 63c | 103.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed 1WIN | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…d64ebacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 84.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a856backed 1WIN | 63c | 77.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4a19backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 76.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 504 | 48.8%246 W · 258 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…436cbacked 1WIN | 58c | 71.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed 1WIN | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…88f6backed 1WIN | 68c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed 1WIN | 45c | 29.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked 1WIN | 53c | 24.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 592 | 2.9%17 W · 575 L | -219.6wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 21.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 845 | 54.4%460 W · 385 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed 1WIN | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group DVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.