Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Egor Shcherbakov vs Joel Alan Barreiro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6aa8de8da33c5c3656f0c8549646fea3c4be29dac16a0807b9928a8694e31dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Egor Shcherbakovof Egor Shcherbakov, Joel Alan Barreiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Joel Alan Barreiro | 60c | 1,140$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.08 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…849cbacked Egor Shcherbakov | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Egor Shcherbakov | 50c | 500.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.78 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Joel Alan Barreiro | 49c | 410.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Joel Alan Barreiro | 51c | 384.5$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.07 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Egor Shcherbakov | 47c | 379.91$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.68 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Egor Shcherbakov | 24c | 312.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 209 | 39.7%83 W · 126 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Joel Alan Barreiro | 44c | 291.34$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.64 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Joel Alan Barreiro | 76c | 250.49$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.42 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Egor Shcherbakov | 50c | 249.02$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.02 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…2c78backed Joel Alan Barreiro | 52c | 157.72$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Egor Shcherbakov | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Joel Alan Barreiro | 45c | 105.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Joel Alan Barreiro | 55c | 97.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Egor Shcherbakov | 34c | 87.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Egor Shcherbakov | 45c | 50.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Joel Alan Barreiro | 53c | 47.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Egor Shcherbakov | 50c | 41.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Joel Alan Barreiro | 55c | 36.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Egor Shcherbakov | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Egor Shcherbakov | 48c | 32.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Egor Shcherbakov | 41c | 24.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Joel Alan Barreiro | 75c | 21.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Egor Shcherbakov | 57c | 20.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.