Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Francesca Jones
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6b03bd522d4ea225f97823788595edc1058638b816e1753077b24d620050844
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francesca Jonesof Ekaterine Gorgodze, Francesca Jones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 12c | 7,379$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.58 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 10c | 5,976$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.4 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Francesca Jones | 79c | 4,085$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.27 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 20c | 2,194$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.8 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 22c | 1,964$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.02 | 193 | 39.4%76 W · 117 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 21c | 1,324$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.06 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 10c | 1,132$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.47 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 13c | 1,004$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.06 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Francesca Jones | 79c | 799.99$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.51 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 21c | 751.43$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.8 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 20c | 600$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.61 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 10c | 542.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 8c | 386.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 19c | 385.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 19c | 283.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 18c | 227$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Francesca Jones | 74c | 149.38$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 900 | 64.3%579 W · 321 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Francesca Jones | 79c | 139.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 855 | 68.3%584 W · 271 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Francesca Jones | 78c | 128.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Francesca Jones | 79c | 126.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 22c | 99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 17c | 89.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 21c | 77.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Francesca Jones | 78c | 64.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 1,425 | 55.1%785 W · 640 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 18c | 62.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9d…fae5backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 20c | 54.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Francesca Jones | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 322 | 46.9%151 W · 171 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Francesca Jones | 78c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Francesca Jones | 65c | 37.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b2…0f1ebacked Francesca Jones | 79c | 23.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Francesca Jones | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 800 | 51%408 W · 392 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Francesca Jones | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Francesca Jones | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.